NCAA Tournament March Madness

#232 Nicholls St

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Projection: need to automatically qualify

Nicholls State’s profile is defined more by its nonconference struggles on the road than by eye-catching wins at home, with trips to Kentucky, Creighton, Murray State, Oklahoma State, Tulane and Pacific producing heavy losses while the season’s few victories came against Incarnate Word and Houston Christian on their own floor, which leaves the resume short on the kind of road or neutral-site signature wins the committee rewards. Conference play gives them plenty of chances to reshape perceptions because the schedule still sends them to wary environments like McNeese State and New Orleans while also offering a stretch of home opportunities against league opponents to pile up wins and momentum. The reality is that the bad results away from home against strong programs are the headline, the home wins are useful but not decisive, and unless they seize the tougher road chances or put together a dominant run in the league slate and tournament, there simply aren’t enough meaningful victories away from their own gym to build a convincing at-large case.

Date Opponent Ranking Outcome
11/4@Kentucky19L77-51
11/7@E Illinois321L65-57
11/12@Valparaiso206L68-63
11/15@Murray St96L99-79
11/22@Oklahoma St61L95-81
11/28@Tulane198L82-72
12/2@Creighton44L96-76
12/6Incarnate Word169W74-67
12/17Houston Chr286W79-64
12/21@Pacific124L95-82
12/29@TAM C. Christi22337%
12/31@UTRGV18029%
1/3East Texas A&M29671%
1/5Northwestern LA29371%
1/10@New Orleans21936%
1/12@McNeese St647%
1/17Lamar26165%
1/19SF Austin14039%
1/24@SE Louisiana27846%
1/26New Orleans21958%
1/31@East Texas A&M29650%
2/2@Northwestern LA29349%
2/7TAM C. Christi22359%
2/9UTRGV18050%
2/14@Incarnate Word16926%
2/16@Houston Chr28647%
2/21@SF Austin14020%
2/23@Lamar26143%
2/28SE Louisiana27868%
3/2McNeese St6419%