NCAA Tournament March Madness

#253 Nicholls St

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Projection: need to automatically qualify

Nicholls State’s résumé is built on a handful of expected home wins over teams like Incarnate Word and Houston Christian and a couple of grind-it-out road victories at New Orleans and East Texas A&M, but those positives are overwhelmed by heavy road defeats at power programs such as Kentucky, Creighton, Murray State and Oklahoma State and by inconsistent league play that includes losses to McNeese State, SF Austin and Lamar. The ledger shows no neutral-site signature win to offset those damaging losses, and while upcoming games at Houston Christian, at SF Austin, at Lamar, a home date with SE Louisiana and a trip to McNeese State give the Colonels concrete chances to show improvement, none of those opponents represents the kind of marquee scalp that would vault this resume into clear at-large territory. Given the quality of the nonconference losses and the flip-flop nature of their conference results, the surest path to the NCAA tournament runs through winning the Southland’s automatic berth rather than hoping for selection as an at-large.

Date Opponent Ranking Outcome
11/4@Kentucky27L77-51
11/7@E Illinois320L65-57
11/12@Valparaiso154L68-63
11/15@Murray St108L99-79
11/22@Oklahoma St62L95-81
11/28@Tulane191L82-72
12/2@Creighton77L96-76
12/6Incarnate Word265W74-67
12/17Houston Chr296W79-64
12/21@Pacific105L95-82
12/29@TAM C. Christi186W76-71
12/31@UTRGV136W71-69
1/3East Texas A&M292W80-58
1/5Northwestern LA283W74-72
1/10@New Orleans209W90-77
1/12@McNeese St64L94-68
1/17Lamar207L90-80
1/19SF Austin85L79-62
1/24@SE Louisiana270L67-61
1/27New Orleans209L80-62
1/31@East Texas A&M292W72-68
2/2@Northwestern LA283W61-58
2/7TAM C. Christi186L83-76
2/9UTRGV136L92-72
2/14@Incarnate Word265W91-83
2/16@Houston Chr29649%
2/21@SF Austin859%
2/23@Lamar20729%
2/28SE Louisiana27065%
3/2McNeese St6417%