NCAA Tournament March Madness

#166 Portland St

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Projection: need to automatically qualify

Portland State’s resume is driven by credible road victories that show the squad can win away from home and by nonconference setbacks that undercut that promise, so the picture is mixed but explainable. Wins away at Weber State, Utah Tech, and South Dakota give the committee evidence of toughness away from the friendly confines, while losses in true road environments at Stanford and Colorado and a home defeat to Nebraska Omaha leave lasting blemishes. Competitive nonconference setbacks at San Francisco and Tulane are easier to forgive than the power-conference losses, and a home win over Cal State Bakersfield does little to elevate the profile. The remaining slate offers clear remedies and tests, with important road dates at Montana and Montana State, a trip to Cal State Sacramento, and a handful of league games against the top of the Big Sky presenting the opportunities to flip the narrative; success in those venues will validate the road résumé, while more slip-ups will keep the nonconference damage in focus.

Date Opponent Ranking Outcome
11/4@Stanford82L89-79
11/12@San Francisco98L80-70
11/17CS Bakersfield294W93-80
11/25@Utah Tech206W68-63
12/3@South Dakota290W77-71
12/6NE Omaha270L60-55
12/17@Colorado80L84-73
12/20@Tulane182L63-61
1/1@Weber St216W95-90
1/3@Idaho St174W93-87
1/10CS Sacramento28882%
1/15N Colorado17062%
1/17Northern Arizona29282%
1/22@E Washington24556%
1/24@Idaho19044%
1/29Montana18666%
1/31Montana St15659%
2/2Idaho St17463%
2/7@CS Sacramento28863%
2/12@Northern Arizona29264%
2/14@N Colorado17040%
2/19Idaho19066%
2/21E Washington24576%
2/26@Montana St15637%
2/28@Montana18644%
3/2Weber St21670%