NCAA Tournament March Madness

#256 Texas St

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Projection: need to automatically qualify

Texas State’s résumé shows a team that can win the games it should at home, with solid victories over UT San Antonio, Texas Southern, Abilene Christian and Arkansas–Little Rock and a gritty conference win over South Alabama that demonstrate competency in close games, but its profile is dragged down by ugly results away from home and at neutral sites, most notably road defeats at Bowling Green and Tulane and neutral losses to Seattle and Lehigh along with a lopsided loss to Arkansas State that undercuts its upside. The remaining slate puts several meaningful chances in front of the committee because the Bobcats must prove they can win away from home against the likes of Troy, Southern Miss and James Madison and can add quality home wins against opponents such as Louisiana, Marshall and Old Dominion; success in those spots would neutralize the bad losses, while continued struggles on the road will leave the résumé looking thin.

Date Opponent Ranking Outcome
11/3@Bowling Green107L83-48
11/8@Tulane198L79-71
11/12UT San Antonio284W80-69
11/15TX Southern332W77-67
11/18Abilene Chr211W63-49
11/21Ark Little Rock315W65-56
11/28(N)Seattle111L66-52
11/29(N)Lehigh312L78-74
12/3@Rice235L77-72
12/10Southern Univ226W86-83
12/17Arkansas St139L89-70
12/20South Alabama193W67-65
12/31@Troy14218%
1/3@ULM35873%
1/8@Southern Miss19129%
1/10@Arkansas St13918%
1/14Louisiana32577%
1/17Southern Miss19150%
1/22@Coastal Car22234%
1/24@James Madison20531%
1/28Marshall15741%
1/31Old Dominion21755%
2/4@Ga Southern21533%
2/11Troy14237%
2/14ULM35888%
2/19@South Alabama19329%
2/21@Louisiana32557%
2/27Appalachian St24760%