NCAA Tournament March Madness

#244 Texas St

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Projection: need to automatically qualify

Texas St's path to the NCAA field runs through the conference tournament because its resume shows bright home wins against teams like Marshall, Old Dominion and Western Michigan but lacks signature victories away from home or on neutral courts, and those solid moments are offset by damaging losses such as the blowout at Bowling Green, the heavy defeat at Troy, the tough trip to Tulane and the lopsided loss to Arkansas State. Road and neutral-site performances have been a recurring problem, with setbacks at Rice and Southern Miss and a neutral loss to Seattle undermining the quality of the profile, while a pair of tight defeats on the road and a late home win over Louisiana suggest there are competitive pieces in place. The remaining slate sends Texas St back on the road to South Alabama and Louisiana before a home date with Appalachian State, so meaningful résumé repair would require wins away from home and against respected conference foes. Given the lack of top-tier wins and the brutality of several road losses, the clearest and most realistic way for this team to lock up an NCAA berth is to capture the Sun Belt tournament.

Date Opponent Ranking Outcome
11/3@Bowling Green139L83-48
11/8@Tulane191L79-71
11/12UT San Antonio348W80-69
11/15TX Southern308W77-67
11/18Abilene Chr234W63-49
11/21Ark Little Rock307W65-56
11/28(N)Seattle132L66-52
11/29(N)Lehigh300L78-74
12/3@Rice232L77-72
12/10Southern Univ270W86-83
12/17Arkansas St148L89-70
12/20South Alabama194W67-65
12/31@Troy137L100-80
1/3@ULM353W84-79
1/8@Southern Miss241L80-70
1/10@Arkansas St148L83-82
1/14Louisiana306W59-54
1/17Southern Miss241W74-67
1/22@Coastal Car233L72-70
1/24@James Madison224L82-57
1/28Marshall183W72-68
1/31Old Dominion242W81-64
2/4@Ga Southern264W77-71
2/7W Michigan280W77-61
2/11Troy137W74-62
2/14ULM353W95-84
2/19@South Alabama19429%
2/21@Louisiana30654%
2/27Appalachian St17547%