NCAA Tournament March Madness
#169 Texas St
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Projection: need to automatically qualify
Texas State's resume is precarious, especially within the context of their Sun Belt competition. Their wins against Princeton and Ohio reflect potential, but their overall schedule is marred by losses to higher-ranked opponents like TCU and Bradley, indicating challenges against quality competition. The team's inconsistent offensive performance, illustrated by struggles against mid-tier teams like Abilene Christian and UT Arlington, raises further concerns. Upcoming games against weaker foes such as Georgia State and Southern Miss present crucial opportunities to bolster their standing, but the stakes are high—any slip, particularly in the remaining contests against teams like Troy and Arkansas State, could severely damage their at-large hopes. Ultimately, automatic qualification seems their best bet.
| Date | Opponent | Ranking | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|
| 11/4 | E Michigan | 305 | W64-44 |
| 11/12 | @TCU | 72 | L76-71 |
| 11/16 | @Abilene Chr | 256 | L72-60 |
| 11/21 | (N)Bradley | 93 | L82-68 |
| 11/22 | (N)Princeton | 147 | W83-80 |
| 11/24 | (N)Ohio | 176 | W74-65 |
| 12/1 | @TX Southern | 332 | W72-59 |
| 12/8 | Rice | 177 | W75-66 |
| 12/14 | @FL Atlantic | 94 | L89-80 |
| 12/21 | Ga Southern | 303 | W83-61 |
| 12/29 | UT Arlington | 183 | L80-72 |
| 1/2 | @Marshall | 210 | L77-71 |
| 1/4 | @Appalachian St | 192 | L72-61 |
| 1/9 | @Troy | 111 | 42% |
| 1/11 | @Southern Miss | 300 | 54% |
| 1/15 | Georgia St | 307 | 63% |
| 1/18 | Southern Miss | 300 | 62% |
| 1/22 | @Louisiana | 329 | 57% |
| 1/25 | @Arkansas St | 89 | 40% |
| 1/30 | Louisiana | 329 | 64% |
| 2/1 | Arkansas St | 89 | 48% |
| 2/5 | @Old Dominion | 342 | 58% |
| 2/13 | @ULM | 348 | 59% |
| 2/15 | @South Alabama | 95 | 40% |
| 2/19 | ULM | 348 | 67% |
| 2/22 | South Alabama | 95 | 48% |
| 2/25 | Troy | 111 | 50% |
| 2/28 | James Madison | 126 | 51% |