NCAA Tournament March Madness
#155 Texas St
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Projection: need to automatically qualify
Texas State’s resume is concerning, highlighted by a lackluster non-conference performance that includes losses to TCU and Bradley, both of which would have been crucial for credibility. Their offensive struggles are evident with a few bright spots, but overall, they sit at the bottom of their defensive metrics, further complicating their case. Upcoming games against teams like Rice and Florida Atlantic are must-wins; success here could bolster their profile considerably. However, they’ll need to start stacking quality wins in the Sun Belt, particularly against opponents like Georgia State and Southern Miss, to have any shot at at-large consideration. As it stands, the most viable path to the tournament hinges on an automatic bid through a strong conference performance.
| Date | Opponent | Ranking | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|
| 11/4 | E Michigan | 291 | W64-44 |
| 11/12 | @TCU | 104 | L76-71 |
| 11/16 | @Abilene Chr | 223 | L72-60 |
| 11/21 | (N)Bradley | 57 | L82-68 |
| 12/1 | @TX Southern | 310 | W72-59 |
| 12/8 | Rice | 169 | 55% |
| 12/14 | @FL Atlantic | 70 | 38% |
| 12/21 | Ga Southern | 216 | 58% |
| 12/29 | UT Arlington | 147 | 54% |
| 1/2 | @Marshall | 153 | 46% |
| 1/4 | @Appalachian St | 235 | 51% |
| 1/9 | @Troy | 122 | 43% |
| 1/11 | @Southern Miss | 318 | 58% |
| 1/15 | Georgia St | 241 | 59% |
| 1/18 | Southern Miss | 318 | 65% |
| 1/22 | @Louisiana | 339 | 60% |
| 1/25 | @Arkansas St | 140 | 45% |
| 1/30 | Louisiana | 339 | 67% |
| 2/1 | Arkansas St | 140 | 53% |
| 2/5 | @Old Dominion | 357 | 64% |
| 2/13 | @ULM | 328 | 59% |
| 2/15 | @South Alabama | 183 | 48% |
| 2/19 | ULM | 328 | 66% |
| 2/22 | South Alabama | 183 | 56% |
| 2/25 | Troy | 122 | 51% |
| 2/28 | James Madison | 111 | 50% |