NCAA Tournament March Madness

#239 Texas St

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Projection: need to automatically qualify

Texas State’s profile is defined by a string of routine home wins against inferior opponents like UT San Antonio, Texas Southern, Abilene Christian and Arkansas Little Rock while a pair of ugly road defeats at Bowling Green and Tulane and neutral-site losses to Seattle and Lehigh leave clear wounds on the résumé. The team has not produced a signature road or neutral victory to offset those blemishes, so committee eyes will be focused on how it performs away from campus. The Sun Belt slate still offers meaningful chances to alter perceptions: home games against Marshall and Old Dominion are must-wins to stabilize the résumé, but the real upward mobility would come from taking care of business on the road at places such as Troy, Southern Miss, Louisiana or James Madison. Put simply, the profile rests on comfortable home results and harmful losses away, and only a few high-visibility wins away from campus will change the conversation.

Date Opponent Ranking Outcome
11/3@Bowling Green116L83-48
11/8@Tulane187L79-71
11/12UT San Antonio273W80-69
11/15TX Southern315W77-67
11/18Abilene Chr222W63-49
11/21Ark Little Rock323W65-56
11/28(N)Seattle109L66-52
11/29(N)Lehigh303L78-74
12/3@Rice215L77-72
12/10Southern Univ21158%
12/17Arkansas St14944%
12/20South Alabama17249%
12/31@Troy14823%
1/3@ULM35473%
1/8@Southern Miss20033%
1/10@Arkansas St14923%
1/14Louisiana32979%
1/17Southern Miss20055%
1/22@Coastal Car21836%
1/24@James Madison18631%
1/28Marshall15345%
1/31Old Dominion22059%
2/4@Ga Southern23839%
2/11Troy14843%
2/14ULM35488%
2/19@South Alabama17228%
2/21@Louisiana32960%
2/27Appalachian St27768%