NCAA Tournament March Madness

#159 UNC Wilmington

Bubble Watch | Bracketology

Chat with the Bracketologist | How does this work?


Projection: need to automatically qualify

UNC Wilmington's resume is a mixed bag that highlights their offensive capabilities but reveals vulnerabilities, particularly on defense. Wins against teams like Georgia Southern and FGCU show they can score effectively, but losses to Kansas and Colgate expose significant weaknesses against stronger competition. The team needs to secure victories in upcoming games, especially against opponents like Hofstra and Northeastern, who sit in the middle tier of the rankings. Success in those matchups will be crucial, as well as consistently taking care of business against bottom-tier teams like Stony Brook and NC A&T. Without a notable run in conference play, the path to an at-large bid appears highly improbable, making the automatic qualification route the most realistic option.

Date Opponent Ranking Outcome
11/8Ga Southern301W92-84
11/15@SC Upstate346W89-85
11/19@Kansas11L84-66
11/27Colgate285L72-59
11/29Sam Houston St166W69-60
11/30Appalachian St189W76-61
12/3@East Carolina197W67-53
12/7Marshall204W78-69
12/14@Howard288L88-83
12/18FGCU151W79-66
12/21UNC Asheville193W85-74
1/2Towson218L65-61
1/4Campbell260W77-69
1/9@Monmouth NJ303W64-55
1/11@Hofstra19248%
1/16Northeastern19856%
1/20William & Mary18355%
1/23@Col Charleston12043%
1/25Hampton23458%
1/30@NC A&T32357%
2/1Stony Brook34366%
2/6@Delaware21449%
2/8@Drexel18147%
2/13Col Charleston12051%
2/15Elon14053%
2/20@William & Mary18347%
2/22@Hampton23450%
2/27@Campbell26052%
3/1Delaware21457%