NCAA Tournament March Madness

#118 UNC Wilmington

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Projection: likely out

UNC Wilmington's projection outside the NCAA tournament mainly hinges on a lack of quality wins and a few damaging losses. While the win against a high-profile program like Kentucky is a significant resume booster that demonstrates the Seahawks' ability to compete with top-tier teams, it is somewhat isolated in terms of marquee victories. Meanwhile, defeats to Elon and Campbell, who are lower-tier opponents in the conference, raise red flags about consistency and the ability to handle business against teams they should be beating handily. Although UNC Wilmington has performed well against teams closer to their level, such as sweeping Col Charleston and besting Towson in a recent matchup, their resume is hampered by those upsets and a defense that ranks poorly. To solidify their postseason chances, UNC Wilmington needs to not only win their remaining games, especially against any higher-ranked conference opponents in the postseason tournament, but they'd likely need to secure the automatic bid that comes with a conference tournament win due to these deficiencies.

Date Opponent Ranking Outcome
11/11@UNC Asheville149W83-66
11/20(N)Murray St150W83-81
11/21(N)Appalachian St75L86-56
11/25@FGCU217W71-55
11/30@East Carolina173L74-66
12/2@Kentucky14W80-73
12/16@Ga Southern289W82-77
12/21@Marshall236W78-69
12/30@Arkansas114L106-90
1/4@Drexel136L78-63
1/6@Towson166L67-64
1/11Monmouth NJ179W69-56
1/14Delaware177W79-74
1/18@Elon308W82-70
1/20Col Charleston99W78-69
1/25@Northeastern219W77-54
1/27@Stony Brook172L86-78
2/1@Col Charleston99W80-74
2/3Campbell300W77-74
2/8Drexel136W75-56
2/10@Hampton333W95-65
2/15NC A&T331W73-54
2/17Elon308L73-72
2/22@William & Mary322W81-65
2/26@Campbell300L105-100
2/29Hofstra126L69-58
3/2Towson166W75-64