NCAA Tournament March Madness

#112 Florida St

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Projection: likely out

Florida State’s résumé reads like a team that has shown flashes but not the kind of résumé that earns a tournament ticket. Tight home showings against Duke and Wake Forest hint at potential, yet those competitive moments are overwhelmed by damaging losses on the road at Florida and Dayton and by lopsided neutral-site defeats to Texas A&M and Houston, plus a brutal home setback to NC State that robs the season of a signature moment. Most wins have come against low-major opposition and do little to strengthen the schedule, and the absence of a true road or neutral victory that committees prize leaves the profile thin. The remaining stretch offers winnable home dates against California and Stanford and a collection of true road tests at SMU, Miami, Notre Dame, Virginia Tech and Clemson where the team must generate quality wins and road resilience if it hopes to claw back into consideration.

Date Opponent Ranking Outcome
11/4Alcorn St343W108-76
11/7Alabama St297W101-64
11/11@Florida9L78-76
11/18TN Martin189W87-73
11/21Ga Southern243W98-72
11/25CS Bakersfield305W89-59
11/28(N)Texas A&M39L95-59
12/2Georgia28L107-73
12/6(N)Houston5L82-67
12/13(N)Massachusetts184L103-95
12/16@Dayton67L97-69
12/19MS Valley St365W96-49
12/22Jacksonville285W87-63
12/30@North Carolina36L79-66
1/3Duke3L91-87
1/10NC State30L113-69
1/13@Syracuse68L94-86
1/17Wake Forest61L69-68
1/20@Miami FL3112%
1/24@SMU3412%
1/28California7246%
1/31Stanford7647%
2/7@Notre Dame7526%
2/10Virginia1414%
2/14@Virginia Tech5720%
2/17Boston College14970%
2/21@Clemson2610%
2/24Miami FL3127%
2/28@Georgia Tech12743%
3/4@Pittsburgh9632%
3/7SMU3428%