NCAA Tournament March Madness

#105 Florida St

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Projection: likely out

Florida State is headed for the outside of the bracket because its résumé is defined by a signature road win at Florida and a gritty road victory at Miami but otherwise padded with home wins over low-level opponents while being scarred by a string of damaging defeats. Lopsided losses at Texas A&M, Georgia and NC State and neutral-site setbacks to Houston and Massachusetts have erased much of the momentum from the competitive outing against Duke and other tougher tests. The Seminoles have shown little consistency away from home beyond their two road wins and their remaining schedule offers a narrow set of chances to repair the résumé with must-win opportunities at SMU and at Notre Dame and in neutral games against California and Stanford while difficult trips to Virginia and Clemson and the other remaining league road dates will do little to ease the uphill climb. With quality victories scarce and bad losses plentiful, those upcoming games are the only realistic path back into comfortable consideration.

Date Opponent Ranking Outcome
11/4Alcorn St341W108-76
11/7Alabama St304W101-64
11/11@Florida10L78-76
11/18TN Martin205W87-73
11/21Ga Southern244W98-72
11/25CS Bakersfield306W89-59
11/28(N)Texas A&M36L95-59
12/2Georgia26L107-73
12/6(N)Houston4L82-67
12/13(N)Massachusetts183L103-95
12/16@Dayton77L97-69
12/19MS Valley St365W96-49
12/22Jacksonville286W87-63
12/30@North Carolina33L79-66
1/3Duke3L91-87
1/10NC State27L113-69
1/13@Syracuse71L94-86
1/17Wake Forest70L69-68
1/20@Miami FL37W65-63
1/24@SMU3113%
1/28California7549%
1/31Stanford7649%
2/7@Notre Dame8130%
2/10Virginia1216%
2/14@Virginia Tech5622%
2/17Boston College14872%
2/21@Clemson2812%
2/24Miami FL3732%
2/28@Georgia Tech12746%
3/4@Pittsburgh9836%
3/7SMU3128%