NCAA Tournament March Madness

#78 Florida St

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Projection: likely out

The projection makes sense because Florida State’s body of work pairs a handful of resume-building moments with a cascade of damaging defeats that selection committees hate to see. Road wins at Miami and at Notre Dame and home victories over Stanford and California show the program can beat quality opposition, but neutral losses to Houston and Texas A&M and brutal defeats to Georgia and NC State sap credibility. The team has also failed to consistently win away from campus, dropping games at Florida, North Carolina, Dayton and SMU rather than piling up road résumé wins, and a neutral loss to Massachusetts further blemishes the profile. With the remainder of the schedule offering a relatively straightforward home game against Boston College, a difficult trip to Clemson and chances at home against SMU and Miami plus road tests at Georgia Tech and Pittsburgh, there are still opportunities to change the picture, yet as it stands the few high-end wins do not outweigh the number and severity of bad losses.

Date Opponent Ranking Outcome
11/4Alcorn St340W108-76
11/7Alabama St305W101-64
11/11@Florida5L78-76
11/18TN Martin198W87-73
11/21Ga Southern279W98-72
11/25CS Bakersfield316W89-59
11/28(N)Texas A&M36L95-59
12/2Georgia43L107-73
12/6(N)Houston4L82-67
12/13(N)Massachusetts183L103-95
12/16@Dayton97L97-69
12/19MS Valley St365W96-49
12/22Jacksonville310W87-63
12/30@North Carolina28L79-66
1/3Duke2L91-87
1/10NC State30L113-69
1/13@Syracuse69L94-86
1/17Wake Forest72L69-68
1/20@Miami FL37W65-63
1/24@SMU38L83-80
1/28California66W63-61
1/31Stanford74W88-80
2/7@Notre Dame80W82-79
2/10Virginia20L61-58
2/14@Virginia Tech65W92-69
2/17Boston College15180%
2/21@Clemson3318%
2/24Miami FL3738%
2/28@Georgia Tech16264%
3/4@Pittsburgh10950%
3/7SMU3838%