NCAA Tournament March Madness

#365 MS Valley St

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Projection: need to automatically qualify

MS Valley Stateā€™s profile points to the reality that the only realistic path to the NCAA tournament is through the conferenceā€™s automatic berth because the nonconference slate produced no signature victories and produced multiple brutal road defeats at UAB, Murray State, Texas A&M, Kansas State, Florida State, West Virginia and Oklahoma that overwhelm the closer outcomes. The most encouraging bits are the tight neutral-site games against Utah Tech and Manhattan and the razor-thin road game at Prairie View, which show the team can be competitive within its league, but those flashes are buried beneath heavy losses away from home that a selection committee will view unfavorably. With the remaining schedule stacked with conference opponents such as Ark Pine Bluff, Jackson State and Alcorn State and several road rematches at Alabama A&M, Alabama State and Prairie View, the programā€™s only practical way to reach the field is to win the conferenceā€™s automatic spot because the current body of work will not make an at-large case.

Date Opponent Ranking Outcome
11/3@UAB125L106-55
11/7@Murray St91L108-60
11/12@Hawaii97L88-56
11/14(N)Utah Tech209L81-75
11/15(N)Manhattan335L80-73
11/22@CS Bakersfield320L86-70
11/25@Texas A&M32L120-84
12/3@ULM358L66-52
12/8@Kansas St87L108-49
12/16Tarleton St197L88-64
12/19@Florida St103L96-49
12/22@West Virginia58L86-51
12/29@Oklahoma63L93-69
1/3Alabama St314L89-69
1/5Alabama A&M298L71-51
1/10@Prairie View333L70-69
1/12@TX Southern311L84-51
1/17Bethune-Cookman243L79-63
1/19Florida A&M316L62-48
1/26@Southern Univ2643%
1/28@Southern Univ264L80-69
1/31Ark Pine Bluff31016%
2/7Jackson St33823%
2/9Alcorn St34425%
2/14@Alabama A&M2985%
2/16@Alabama St3146%
2/19@Prairie View3338%
2/28@Ark Pine Bluff3106%
3/3@Alcorn St34411%
3/5@Jackson St33810%