NCAA Tournament March Madness

#202 Missouri St

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Projection: need to automatically qualify

Missouri State’s resume leaves little margin for error because its season is defined by a few respectable wins bookended by several damaging defeats away from home and in nonconference play, and that combination makes an at-large path unlikely. The best moments are road and home victories over New Mexico State and steady wins over UTEP and WKU, but those are offset by ugly road blowouts at Tulsa and Xavier and surprising setbacks to Arkansas State, UT Arlington, Kennesaw and Sam Houston State that undercut the quality of the profile. The team has been inconsistent on both ends, capable of controlled wins and also vulnerable to lopsided losses, and a tight loss at Liberty and other narrow defeats show this résumé is missing signature triumphs away from home. With a final regular-season trip to Middle Tennessee remaining and the conference tournament ahead, Missouri State’s clearest path to a berth is to seize the automatic bid by winning the league tournament.

Date Opponent Ranking Outcome
11/11Arkansas St153L86-85
11/15@UT Arlington160L67-49
11/22UTRGV125W74-67
11/24LIU Brooklyn215L75-61
12/6@Tulsa55L98-74
12/12@Xavier94L75-57
12/16Oral Roberts309W63-62
12/23Lindenwood266W70-65
12/29@Delaware270W61-43
1/2UTEP277W79-55
1/4New Mexico St183W89-82
1/7@Kennesaw176L90-80
1/10Florida Intl208W79-71
1/14@WKU148L87-72
1/17@MTSU175L90-87
1/22@New Mexico St183W84-75
1/24@UTEP277W62-57
1/28Sam Houston St107L80-71
1/31Jacksonville St207W74-67
2/7@Liberty118L79-76
2/12Louisiana Tech231L79-78
2/14Delaware270L76-67
2/18Kennesaw176L91-87
2/21@Florida Intl208L70-67
2/26@Louisiana Tech231L72-70
2/28@Sam Houston St107L86-81
3/5WKU148W87-74
3/7MTSU17555%