NCAA Tournament March Madness

#216 Missouri St

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Projection: need to automatically qualify

Missouri State’s résumé is precarious because its best moments, including road victories at New Mexico State and UTEP and a tight win over Oral Roberts, show it can win away while its worst moments, such as home setbacks to Arkansas State and LIU Brooklyn, a poor trip to UT Arlington and lopsided losses at Tulsa and Xavier, are the kinds of damaging results committees penalize. That inconsistent body of work leaves little margin for error away from home and in league play. The upcoming stretch that starts at home against Kennesaw and moves to road tests at Florida International, Louisiana Tech and Sam Houston State before meetings with WKU and MTSU gives Missouri State clear opportunities to replace bad losses with resume-building wins and that balance is why the projection treats them as a team that must secure an automatic bid.

Date Opponent Ranking Outcome
11/11Arkansas St149L86-85
11/15@UT Arlington167L67-49
11/22UTRGV136W74-67
11/24LIU Brooklyn208L75-61
12/6@Tulsa60L98-74
12/12@Xavier95L75-57
12/16Oral Roberts332W63-62
12/23Lindenwood252W70-65
12/29@Delaware267W61-43
1/2UTEP264W79-55
1/4New Mexico St166W89-82
1/7@Kennesaw182L90-80
1/10Florida Intl203W79-71
1/14@WKU175L87-72
1/17@MTSU181L90-87
1/22@New Mexico St166W84-75
1/24@UTEP264W62-57
1/28Sam Houston St110L80-71
1/31Jacksonville St210W74-67
2/7@Liberty90L79-76
2/12Louisiana Tech238L79-78
2/14Delaware267L76-67
2/18Kennesaw18255%
2/21@Florida Intl20336%
2/26@Louisiana Tech23845%
2/28@Sam Houston St11019%
3/5WKU17554%
3/7MTSU18155%