NCAA Tournament March Madness

#112 Murray St

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Projection: likely out

Murray State's resume sends mixed signals. Eye-catching neutral wins, capped by a tight victory over George Washington, are undercut by damaging road and neutral defeats such as the loss at SMU and neutral setbacks to Middle Tennessee and McNeese State that raise questions about defensive consistency away from home. Convincing blowouts over low-major opposition bolster offensive feel but do little to offset the absence of meaningful road triumphs against quality opponents. The remaining slate offers clear chances to change the narrative: a neutral date with Akron and a conference run that includes trips to Valparaiso, Drake and Northern Iowa along with a home test against Belmont present opportunities to add the kind of road or neutral wins the committee prizes while further slip-ups in those spots would cement current doubts.

Date Opponent Ranking Outcome
11/3(N)NE Omaha246W85-77
11/7MS Valley St365W108-60
11/11@SMU40L102-91
11/15Nicholls St256W99-79
11/18Ark Little Rock323W89-68
11/23(N)MTSU156L90-87
11/24(N)McNeese St76L73-60
11/25(N)G Washington81W96-95
12/2Morehead St324W84-52
12/6Bellarmine286W81-68
12/13(N)Akron5428%
12/18Drake12665%
12/21@Valparaiso19862%
12/29S Illinois11762%
1/1@IL Chicago20362%
1/4Bradley12565%
1/7@Evansville28175%
1/10Valparaiso19880%
1/17Indiana St18579%
1/21@Drake12643%
1/24@Northern Iowa9834%
1/28Illinois St10358%
1/31@Belmont7425%
2/3IL Chicago20381%
2/6@S Illinois11740%
2/9Northern Iowa9856%
2/12@Indiana St18559%
2/15Belmont7446%
2/18@Illinois St10336%
2/21Evansville28189%
3/1@Bradley12543%