NCAA Tournament March Madness

#180 Oregon St

Bubble Watch | Bracketology

Chat with the Bracketologist | How does this work?


Projection: need to automatically qualify

Oregon State is projected to need the conference’s automatic bid because its resume mixes a handful of legitimate road wins with a collection of damaging losses that will be hard to overcome. The road victories at Arizona State and at San Francisco and the gritty trip to San Diego are the kinds of results committees look for, but they are offset by ugly neutral-site losses to Evansville, Iona and Massachusetts and a home thumping by Santa Clara that raises questions about consistency and defensive resilience. Losses at St. Mary’s and at Oregon and a home defeat to Gonzaga further underline that the Beavers have not beaten a marquee opponent in a way that changes the narrative, and the nonconference wins over lesser mid-majors won't move the needle. There are winnable chances coming at Seattle and at home against Pepperdine and San Diego before a difficult road trip to Santa Clara, but without a run through the conference tournament those remaining opportunities are more about salvage than about building a truly resume-changing body of work.

Date Opponent Ranking Outcome
11/3N Dakota St124W67-65
11/7IL Chicago122W76-73
11/12North Texas142W66-64
11/17@Oregon100L87-75
11/21(N)Evansville297L73-69
11/22(N)Iona247L91-84
11/24(N)Massachusetts183L73-65
11/29Cal Baptist117L75-69
12/3Vermont223W80-58
12/6Southern Utah266W81-70
12/13Montana St150W67-57
12/17Sam Houston St110L85-75
12/21@Arizona St71W78-75
12/28Santa Clara39L102-64
12/30San Francisco130W70-62
1/2@Pacific105L84-53
1/4@Washington St133L81-67
1/8Seattle131W68-55
1/10@Portland200L82-76
1/14Loy Marymount152W76-70
1/17Pacific105L81-64
1/21@St Mary's CA32L81-51
1/28@Loy Marymount152W72-69
1/31@San Diego215W78-76
2/4Washington St133W74-64
2/7Gonzaga10L81-61
2/12@San Francisco130W90-63
2/15@Seattle13129%
2/21Pepperdine27479%
2/25San Diego21567%
2/28@Santa Clara396%