NCAA Tournament March Madness

#94 San Francisco

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Projection: likely out

San Francisco’s profile mixes a couple of eye‑catching neutral wins over Minnesota and Mississippi State with a string of losses that undercut the résumé. An eye‑opening road defeat at Memphis and neutral setbacks to Colorado and Nevada reveal trouble closing games against better opponents away from home, and the unexpected home loss to North Alabama is a damaging blemish. The quality wins give the Dons headline value but they have not consistently backed those up in true road and major‑site settings. Upcoming chances at St. Louis and on the road at Seattle and Oregon State are the kinds of opportunities that can erase earlier damage while home dates with St. Mary’s and the matchups against Gonzaga are high‑visibility tests that will shape perception. Protecting the home court in the conference run and finding at least one big result away would change the conversation, whereas splitting the middling league dates and losing the marquee games would leave the earlier blemishes as the dominant narrative.

Date Opponent Ranking Outcome
11/8@Memphis64L76-70
11/12Portland St183W80-70
11/15Bradley125W75-64
11/18Northwestern LA300W84-64
11/22(N)Minnesota115W77-65
11/27(N)Colorado63L79-69
11/28(N)Nevada87L81-65
12/3North Alabama217L65-63
12/7(N)Mississippi St82W65-62
12/13@St Louis4219%
12/17(N)Loyola-Chicago29187%
12/21Morgan St36399%
12/28@Seattle10944%
12/30@Oregon St18063%
1/2San Diego25790%
1/4Portland24489%
1/8@Loy Marymount13752%
1/10@Pepperdine29581%
1/13St Mary's CA3233%
1/18Washington St17581%
1/24@Gonzaga33%
1/28@Santa Clara6627%
1/31Pacific12370%
2/3Loy Marymount13773%
2/7@St Mary's CA3216%
2/12Oregon St18081%
2/15@San Diego25776%
2/18Gonzaga310%
2/21Santa Clara6648%
2/28@Pacific12348%