NCAA Tournament March Madness

#304 Le Moyne

Bubble Watch | Bracketology

Chat with the Bracketologist | How does this work?


Projection: need to automatically qualify

Le Moyne’s profile is defined by the contrast between a few encouraging wins away from home and several damaging losses that expose real limitations. A neutral-site victory over Monmouth and road triumphs at Lafayette and Binghamton show the team can win in hostile settings and carry an offense on the road. The worst moments came in heavy setbacks at Xavier, Bowling Green and Massachusetts, along with a home loss to Fairfield and a neutral loss to Ball State that highlighted defensive lapses and inconsistency in big games. That pattern matters because the résumé lacks a signature victory over a recognized opponent and the nonconference defeats carry more weight than wins over lesser foes. The upcoming stretch of road tests at Texas, St Bonaventure and Boston College is the clearest chance to add a meaningful scalp while the rest of the conference slate against St Francis PA, Mercyhurst, Stonehill and Wagner should produce victories but offers limited résumé enhancement. Until Le Moyne can knock off one of those higher-profile road opponents or make a deep run in its conference tournament its body of work will read like a team with mid-major competence but without the quality wins committees prize.

Date Opponent Ranking Outcome
11/6@Xavier83L74-69
11/9@Bowling Green116L83-60
11/13@Massachusetts177L94-80
11/17Niagara351W74-68
11/22Fairfield299L97-83
11/28@Lafayette326W76-63
11/29(N)Monmouth NJ213W83-79
11/30(N)Ball St321L96-85
12/6@Binghamton355W78-63
12/16@Texas502%
12/20@St Bonaventure1078%
12/28@Boston College14413%
1/2@St Francis PA35964%
1/4@Mercyhurst32845%
1/8New Haven34273%
1/10Central Conn25951%
1/17@Chicago St35862%
1/19LIU Brooklyn23446%
1/23Wagner31464%
1/25@F Dickinson36064%
1/29@LIU Brooklyn23426%
1/31Stonehill34373%
2/5@Wagner31441%
2/7St Francis PA35982%
2/12Mercyhurst32867%
2/14Chicago St35881%
2/19@Central Conn25930%
2/21@Stonehill34352%
2/26F Dickinson36082%
2/28@New Haven34252%