NCAA Tournament March Madness

#295 Mt St Mary's

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Projection: need to automatically qualify

Mt St Mary’s profile reads like a club that can win on the road but has been damaged by several lopsided defeats to power-conference opponents, so the committee will likely want to see a conference title before extending a ticket. Road victories at St Francis PA, Iona and Loyola Maryland and solid results at Canisius and Niagara show the team can close games away from home, yet those wins are offset by heavy losses at West Virginia, Cincinnati, Maryland and Ohio State and by bad losses to the likes of Bucknell, Merrimack and Quinnipiac. The remaining slate — home dates with Niagara and Canisius and road trips to Sacred Heart and Fairfield — gives clear chances to tidy the résumé, but without a signature win over a high-level opponent or the safety of a conference tournament championship the season’s weak nonconference stretch and the severity of a few defeats leave the program with little margin for an at-large case.

Date Opponent Ranking Outcome
11/4@West Virginia55L70-54
11/7Bucknell331L73-62
11/11@St Francis PA356W74-66
11/16@Cincinnati51L72-55
11/19@Maryland126L95-90
11/23@W Michigan280L83-60
11/25@Ohio St40L113-60
11/29Howard229W79-75
12/3Sacred Heart294L87-80
12/5@Marist185L64-56
12/13@Loyola MD315W81-73
12/19@Drexel228L75-67
12/29Iona247W66-59
1/2@Merrimack168L75-65
1/4@Quinnipiac194L80-69
1/9St Peter's243W70-65
1/11Siena199L67-50
1/17@Canisius345W78-68
1/19@Niagara341W68-58
1/22Quinnipiac194L77-62
1/24Rider357W71-61
1/30@St Peter's243L66-58
2/1Manhattan329W72-65
2/5Merrimack168L87-70
2/7@Iona247W83-76
2/13@Rider357W65-55
2/20Niagara34177%
2/22Canisius34578%
2/27@Sacred Heart29438%
3/1@Fairfield26332%