NCAA Tournament March Madness

#34 NC State

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Projected seed: 11

NC State’s résumé lives in the same middle ground a committee respects but hesitates to reward because it combines signature road victories at Clemson, Pittsburgh and SMU and a statement home showing against North Carolina with neutral-site triumphs over Boise State and Mississippi that prove the team can win away from Raleigh. Those wins are tempered by ugly results at Louisville and at home against Duke and by repeated setbacks to Virginia that expose a troubling inability to finish against top competition. A string of razor-thin losses to Kansas, Texas, Stanford and Notre Dame underscores how competitive the team can be without delivering the marquee wins that erase doubt, and the blemish against Georgia Tech and the neutral loss to Seton Hall leave lingering questions about consistency. With more true road and neutral opportunities on the horizon versus recognizable opponents there is a clear path to strengthen the case, but until those chances turn into signature victories the mix of quality wins, damaging defeats, and uneven defense keeps them projected near the bubble.

Date Opponent Ranking Outcome
11/3NC Central352W114-66
11/7UAB127W94-70
11/12UNC Greensboro300W110-64
11/17VCU45W85-79
11/24(N)Seton Hall51L85-74
11/25(N)Boise St62W81-70
11/26(N)Texas37L102-97
12/3@Auburn38L83-73
12/6UNC Asheville246W75-63
12/10Liberty125W85-45
12/13Kansas21L77-76
12/17TX Southern316W108-72
12/21(N)Mississippi65W76-62
12/31Wake Forest74W70-57
1/3Virginia13L76-61
1/6@Boston College156W79-71
1/10@Florida St56W113-69
1/17Georgia Tech162L78-74
1/20@Clemson36W80-76
1/24@Pittsburgh94W81-72
1/27Syracuse83W88-68
1/31@Wake Forest74W96-78
2/3@SMU42W84-83
2/7Virginia Tech55W82-73
2/9@Louisville19L118-77
2/14Miami FL31L77-76
2/17North Carolina29W82-58
2/24@Virginia13L90-61
2/28@Notre Dame89L96-90
3/2Duke1L93-64
3/7Stanford58L85-84
3/11(N)Pittsburgh94W98-88
3/12(N)Virginia13L81-74