NCAA Tournament March Madness

#311 Ball St

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Projection: need to automatically qualify

Ball State’s resume is built around a handful of wins over lower-level nonconference foes and a home victory over Ohio, but it lacks signature wins away from home or on neutral courts. The season’s best moments, including the win over Louisiana and a neutral-site victory over Le Moyne plus a gritty showing at Massachusetts, prove the team can score and compete, yet its worst nights, most notably the blowout at Wisconsin and the offensive collapse at Lafayette along with a string of road defeats in conference play, do serious damage to its résumé in the committee’s view. The remainder of the schedule hands Ball State several clear chances to improve, from trips to Toledo and Bowling Green to home dates with Central Michigan and Buffalo and another test at Akron, but meaningful road or neutral wins remain the missing ingredient. That combination leaves their clearest route to the field through winning the conference tournament rather than earning an at-large berth.

Date Opponent Ranking Outcome
11/3Louisiana322W75-64
11/11@Wisconsin38L86-55
11/15Ark Little Rock291L68-62
11/22@Indiana St194L70-52
11/28(N)Monmouth NJ226L80-73
11/29@Lafayette318L55-37
11/30(N)Le Moyne273W96-85
12/3@Evansville271L64-52
12/9S Dakota St187L68-64
12/14@Campbell182L69-64
12/20Miami OH94L86-77
1/3@Buffalo175L85-72
1/6E Michigan188L74-52
1/10@Massachusetts184L79-71
1/13@Akron63L87-77
1/16Ohio213W76-71
1/20@C Michigan32042%
1/24N Illinois31663%
1/31@Toledo15913%
2/3@Bowling Green1228%
2/11Buffalo17532%
2/14Kent14625%
2/17@Ohio21319%
2/21Akron639%
2/24Massachusetts18433%
2/28@N Illinois31641%
3/3@W Michigan24123%
3/6C Michigan32064%